Stories tagged prediction
2008 Hurricane predictions are in
in Earth and Space Science, Physical Science, History and Nature of Science, Math, The Water Cycle, Weather and Climate, and Forces of Nature
Noted hurricane forecaster Dr. William Gray has offered up his 2008 Atlantic hurricane season predictions. (The season begins on June 1 and runs through November 30.)
Hurricane Katrina, 8/29/05: This image was taken by NOAA's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES).
Courtesy NOAA
Gray's team, working out of Colorado State University, is predicting an above-normal season, with 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes (category 3 storms or higher). Why? A La Nina pattern creates cool water conditions in the Pacific and warm sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. Warm sea surface temperatures are critical to the formation of hurricanes.
What's "above average"? An average hurricane season produces about 10 tropical storms and 6 hurricanes. In 2007, 14 tropical storms formed, and 6 of those strengthened into hurricanes. But 2005, of course, was a record-shattering year, with 28 storms, including Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
Here's the Science Buzz feature on hurricanes.
Buzz thread on Hurricane Katrina, started on 8/29/2005.
Buzz thread on Hurricane Rita, started on 9/22/2005.
Buzz thread on the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season
Buzz thread on the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season
Do you know about the 1938 hurricane that crashed into New England?
Share your natural disaster stories.
And, lastly, here are the hurricane names for 2008:
- Arthur
- Bertha
- Cristobal
- Dolly
- Edouard
- Fay
- Gustav
- Hanna
- Ike
- Josephine
- Kyle
- Laura
- Marco
- Nana
- Omar
- Paloma
- Rene
- Sally
- Teddy
- Vicky
- and Wilfred
Tags : 2007 Atlantic hurricane season
in Earth and Space Science, History and Nature of Science, The Water Cycle, Weather and Climate, and Forces of Nature
The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1 and runs through November 30.
_0.thumbnail.GIF "Two hurricanes: This satellite image, captured 8/30/05, shows Hurricane Iris in the central Atlantic Ocean, with Tropical Storm Karen to the southeast. (The original image, from which this is cropped, also showed Hurricane Humberto moving northeast across the Atlantic.)")
Two hurricanes: This satellite image, captured 8/30/05, shows Hurricane Iris in the central Atlantic Ocean, with Tropical Storm Karen to the southeast. (The original image, from which this is cropped, also showed Hurricane Humberto moving northeast across the Atlantic.)
Check back often for the latest predictions, forecasts, and discussion.
The United States Geologic Service has launched a website which shows the probability of an earth-shaking event in any spot for California over the next 24 hours. The model is most useful in predicting aftershocks — small tremblers that follow a large quake. Those large quakes remain almost impossible to predict. But knowing if an aftershock is due will help Californians prepare their homes and keep damage to a minimum.
Earthquakes occur when two pieces of the Earth's crust collide, divide, or scrape past one another. The dividng line between two such pieces is called a fault line. Many fault lines run through California, so they have lots of earthquakes. Minnesota has no fault lines, so earthquakes here are very rare.
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